politics

February 28, 2026

Pakistan and Afghanistan are at war. Here’s the full story behind the clash

A complex mix of history, insurgents, and regional tensions explains the sudden outbreak of fighting

Pakistan and Afghanistan are at war. Here’s the full story behind the clash

TL;DR

  • Pakistan declared a state of "open war" with Afghanistan following cross-border strikes and military actions.
  • The primary cause of the conflict is the disputed Durand Line, a 19th-century border that Afghanistan has never recognized, viewing it as a colonial remnant.
  • Afghanistan's refusal to recognize the Durand Line stems from its historical context as an externally imposed border and its division of Pashtun tribes.
  • Recent clashes have intensified since March 2024, escalating from localized incidents to regular armed confrontations.
  • Regional dynamics, including Pakistan's accusations of Afghanistan's ties with India and China's significant military support for Pakistan, add complexity.
  • A full-scale ground invasion of Afghanistan by Pakistan is considered unlikely due to terrain challenges and China's strategic interests in projects like CPEC.
  • The conflict highlights the enduring impact of 19th-century colonial decisions on contemporary regional security.
  • Afghanistan's increasing trade through Iranian ports with India's involvement further strains relations with Pakistan.
  • The situation is precarious, with potential for further escalation and increased instability at the crossroads of South Asia, Central Asia, and the Middle East.

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